News

Keeping you in the loop.

Macroeconomics

 

BEA Releases Advance Estimate of 2016 Q1 GDP (April 2016)

04.28.2016

The Bureau of Economic Analysis has released its advance estimate of first quarter 2016 Gross Domestic Product. The advance estimate is based on data that may be incomplete or subject to revision. The second estimate, released in May, will be based on more complete data.

The advance estimate shows GDP increasing at an annual rate of 0.5% during the first quarter of 2016. This is a deceleration from the fourth quarter of 2015, which saw GDP increasing at a rate of 1.4%.

This deceleration reflects a decrease in nonresidential fixed investment, personal consumption expenditures, federal government spending, private inventory investment, and net exports (due to an increase in imports) and was offset by an increase in state and local government spending and residential fixed investment.

The full report is available via the link below:


Web 

April VBR/EPR Survey Results Released (April 2016)

04.25.2016

The VBR/EPR Business Conditions Survey for the first quarter of 2016/second quarter of 2016 has been released.  Most responses to the question about the state’s overall business climate outlook were neutral (51%).  The remaining responses were split between optimistic (28%) and pessimistic (20%).  More than 60 percent of respondents (62%) shared negative outlooks specifically with ease of hiring for available positions.  The education sector had the most optimistic outlook on the general business climate, while the health care sector had the least optimistic outlook.  For this reporting period, the diffusion index shows a decline in optimism from Q1 2016 to Q2 2016, indicating that Vermont CEOs continue to feel neutral to mildly pessimistic about the business climate for the coming three months.

The Business Conditions Survey is conducted in partnership between the Vermont Business Roundtable and Economic & Policy Resources.  The nine question survey of the 97 members of the Vermont Business Roundtable captures a glimpse of how Vermont business leaders see the state economy.  The survey asks business leaders how  their businesses have fared in the recent past and how they view the future.  Sentiments regarding the current and expected business climate and the expected impact on hiring and investing decisions are also surveyed.   Included in the standard survey is a question asking roundtable members for opinions on a current debate in public policy.   Along with providing a snapshot of the Vermont business climate, the survey allows Vermonters to see how these markers change over time.

Read more on Vermont Digger: http://vtdigger.org/2016/04/27/vermont-business-roundtable-and-economic-policy-resources-2nd-quarter-2016-business-conditions-survey-results-show-neutral-outlook/

The press release is available as a PDF below.


PDF

January VBR/EPR Survey Results Released (Jan. 2016)

01.25.2016

The VBR/EPR Business Conditions Survey for the fourth quarter of 2015/first quarter of 2016 has been released.  Most responses to the question about the state’s overall business climate outlook were neutral (42%).  The remaining responses were evenly split between optimistic (29%) and pessimistic (29%).  More than 60 percent of respondents (62%) shared negative outlooks specifically with ease of hiring for available positions. The construction sector had the most optimistic outlook on the general business climate, while the utilities sector had the least optimistic outlook. For this reporting period, the diffusion index shows a slight upturn in optimism from Q3 2015 to Q4 2015, indicating that Vermont CEOs continue to feel neutral to mildly optimistic about the business climate for the coming three months.

The Business Conditions Survey is conducted in partnership between the Vermont Business Roundtable and Economic & Policy Resources.  The nine question survey of the 97 members of the Vermont Business Roundtable captures a glimpse of how Vermont business leaders see the state economy.  The survey asks business leaders how  their businesses have fared in the recent past and how they view the future.  Sentiments regarding the current and expected business climate and the expected impact on hiring and investing decisions are also surveyed.   Included in the standard survey is a question asking roundtable members for opinions on a current debate in public policy.   Along with providing a snapshot of the Vermont business climate, the survey allows Vermonters to see how these markers change over time.

Watch EPR's Amanda Wassel discuss the survey on Channel 17: https://www.cctv.org/watch-tv/programs/vermont-business-roundtableepr-business-conditions-survey-4th-quarter-results-2015

Read more on Vermont Digger: http://vtdigger.org/2016/01/28/business-conditions-survey-results-show-neutral-outlook/

The Press Release is available as a PDF below.


PDF

December Livingston Survey Results (Dec. 2015)

12.10.2015

The Livingston Survey which began in 1946 is the oldest continuous survey of economists’ expectations.  The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia has released results from the  December survey.  Bob Chase, senior economist at EPR has been a member of the Livingston Survey since the early 1990s.

Forecasters project that real GDP will grow at an annual rate of 2.1% for the second half of 2015 and 2.5% for the first half of 2016. They predict that unemployment will decline to 4.9% in December 2015 and 4.8% in June 2016, lower than previous estimates.

The full report is available below as a PDF:


PDF

October VBR/EPR Survey Results Released (Oct. 2015)

10.28.2015

The VBR/EPR Business Conditions Survey for the third quarter of 2015/fourth quarter of 2015 has been released. For the sixth quarter in a row, CEOs attitudes about the state’s business climate outlook continue to deteriorate from mildly optimistic to neutral.  More than half of respondents (58 percent) continued to express negative outlooks with regard to the ease of hiring for available positions.  The Information sector expressed the most optimistic outlooks on the general business climate. Compared with their national counterparts, Vermont companies demonstrated similar caution with near-term prospects and plans for capital outlays. For this reporting period, the results show a continued decline in optimism from Q2 2015 to Q3 2015, indicating that Vermont CEOs are solidly neutral in their attitude about the general business climate for the coming three months.

The Business Conditions Survey is conducted in partnership between the Vermont Business Roundtable and Economic & Policy Resources.  The nine question survey of the 97 members of the Vermont Business Roundtable captures a glimpse of how Vermont business leaders see the state economy.  The survey asks business leaders how  their businesses have fared in the recent past and how they view the future.  Sentiments regarding the current and expected business climate and the expected impact on hiring and investing decisions are also surveyed.   Included in the standard survey is a question asking roundtable members for opinions on a current debate in public policy.   Along with providing a snapshot of the Vermont business climate, the survey allows Vermonters to see how these markers change over time.

Watch EPR's Amanda Wassel discuss the survey results on Channel 17: https://www.cctv.org/watch-tv/programs/vermont-business-roundtableepr-business-conditions-survey-3rd-quarter-results-2015


The Press Release is available as a PDF below.


PDF

Client Resources

EPR has complied a list of valuable resources that benefit our clients. Read through our whitepapers and published articles to learn more about how our services can be of help.


Read More

Listen to Jeff...

Jeff Carr was recently invited to participate on a podcast hosted by prominent EB-5 immigration attorney Mona Shah of Mona Shah & Associates Global (“MSA Global”) to discuss EPR’s newly released study on the economic impact of the...


Read More