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BLS Releases June 2019 Consumer Price Index (July 2019)

07.11.2019

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.1 percent in June on a seasonally adjusted basis, the same increase as in May, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 1.6 percent before seasonal adjustment.

Increases in the indexes for shelter, apparel, and used cars and trucks more than offset declines in energy indexes to result in the seasonally adjusted all items monthly increase in June. The energy index fell 2.3 percent as all of the major energy component indexes declined. The food index was unchanged as the index for food away from home rose but the index for food at home declined.

The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.3 in June, its largest monthly increase since January 2018. Along with the indexes for shelter, used cars and trucks, and apparel, the indexes for household furnishings and operations, medical care, and motor vehicle insurance were among the indexes that increased in June. The indexes for recreation, airline fares, and personal care all declined in June.

The all items index increased 1.6 percent for the 12 months ending June, a smaller increase than the 1.8-percent rise for the period ending May. The index for all items less food and energy rose 2.1 percent over the last 12 months, and the food index increased 1.9 percent. The energy index, in contrast, declined 3.4 percent over the last 12 months.

The full press release can be found via the link below.


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BLS Releases June Employment Situation (July 2019)

07.05.2019

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 224,000 in June, and the unemployment rate was little changed at 3.7 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains occurred in professional and business services, in health care, and in transportation and warehousing.

 

The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for April was revised down from +224,000 to +216,000, and the change for May was revised down from +75,000 to +72,000. With these revisions, employment gains in April and May combined were 11,000 less than previously reported.  After revisions, job gains have averaged 171,000 per month over the last 3 months.

 

In June, Professional and business services added 51,000 jobs.  Employment growth in the industry has averaged 35,000 per month in the first half of 2019. Employment in health care increased by 35,000 over the month and by 403,000 over the past 12 months. Transportation and warehousing added 24,000 jobs over the month and 158,000 over the past 12 months. Construction employment continued to trend up in June (+21,000), in line with its average monthly gain over the prior 12 months. Manufacturing employment edged up in June (+17,000), following 4 months of little change. So far this year, job growth in the industry has averaged 8,000 per month, compared with an average of 22,000 per month in 2018.  Employment in other major industries, including mining, wholesaletrade, retailtrade, information, financialactivities, leisure and hospitality, and government, showed little change over the month.

 

In June, average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls rose by 6 cents to $27.90, following a 9-cent gain in May. Over the past 12 months, average hourly earnings have increased by 3.1 percent. Average hourly earnings of private-sector production and nonsupervisory employees increased by 4 cents to $23.43 in June.

 

The next employment situation report for July 2019 is scheduled to be released on Friday, August 2, 2019.

The BLS release can be viewed in the pdf below. 

 


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May FY 2019 Revenue Receipts Web-Summary (June 2019)

06.21.2019

On June 19, 2019, Secretary of Administration Susanne Young announced revenue results for the State of Vermont for May of fiscal year 2019.  Revenue receipts in the General Fund were essentially on target for the month of May and remained significantly above target for the fiscal year through May 31st.  Revenues in the Transportation Fund performed above their monthly target for May but remained slightly below its cumulative, through May consensus cash flow target.  Collections in the Education Fund were slightly below monthly and annual consensus cash flow targets through the eleventh month of the 2019 fiscal year.  The Secretary said that “...General Fund receipts were on track for a substantial revenue surplus” for fiscal year 2019 as a whole.  She noted the surplus has been appropriated to: (1) replenish the reserves at the Agency of Human Services, (2) increase the balance in the State’s “Rainy Day Fund” for the General Fund, and (3) build the balance of the State Employees Health Benefits Trust Fund.  The Secretary further noted that those actions, as passed under House Bill 542, “...will result in another step forward on the path of paying down the State's unfunded liabilities." 


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BLS Releases May 2019 Consumer Price Index (June 2019)

06.12.2019

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.1 percent in May on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.3 percent in April, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 1.8 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The food index rose 0.3 percent in May after declining in April, with the food index accounting for nearly half of the May seasonally adjusted all items monthly increase. The energy index fell 0.6 percent in May, with the gasoline index falling 0.5 percent and the indexes for electricity and natural gas also declining in May.

The index for all items less food and energy increased 0.1 percent for the fourth consecutive month. The indexes for shelter, medical care, airline fares, education, household furnishings and operations, and new vehicles all rose in May. The indexes for used cars and trucks, recreation, and motor vehicle insurance were among those that declined over the month.

The all items index increased 1.8 percent for the 12 months ending May. The index for all items less food and energy rose 2.0 percent over the last 12 months, and the food index also rose 2.0 percent. The energy index decreased 0.5 percent over the past year.

The full press release can be found via the link below.

Next release is Thursday, July 11, 2019, for the June 2019 Consumer Price Index.


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VBR & EPR Release Qtr 2 2019 Business Condition Survey (June 2019)

06.11.2019

Lisa Ventriss, President of Vermont Business Roundtable (VBR) and Jeffrey Carr, President, Economic & Policy Resources (EPR), announced the Q2 of 2019 outlook results of their joint initiative, the VBR/EPR Business Conditions Survey and Index.  The latest survey, which was conducted during April of 2019, achieved a response rate of 62 percent overall. 

More than three-quarters of respondents shared negative outlooks specifically with ease of hiring for available positions (76%); a dramatic shift away from neutral from the previous survey (64%) and reflective of the demographic-workforce growth challenges Vermont is currently facing.  A majority of respondents expressed a neutral outlook about the state’s overall business climate (62% Neutral, 14% Negative); tempering the negative outlook of the previous survey (41% Neutral, 44% Negative).  When asked, “Are you more or less optimistic about the general business climate in your sector compared to three months ago?”…overall the responses were largely neutral or negative. The Manufacturing sector expressed the most optimism (40%), while the Education sector had the most pessimistic outlook (43%).


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BLS Releases September...

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) was unchanged in September on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.1 percent in August, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last...


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