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Macroeconomics

 

BLS Releases May 2018 Consumer Price Index (June 2018)

06.12.2018

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Consumer Price Index for all urban consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.2 percent in May of 2018 on a seasonally-adjusted basis.  An increase in the indexes for gasoline and shelter were the main contributor to the monthly increase, as they were in April.

Excluding the volatile costs of food and energy, the index for all items less food and energy rose by 0.2 percent in May.  The indexes for new vehicles, education and communication, and tobacco all increased in May.

The all items index has risen 2.8 percent over the last 12 months ending in May, a figure which has been trending upward since the beginning of the year.  

The full press release can be found via the link below.

Next release is Thursday, July 12, 2018, for the June 2018 Consumer Price Index.


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BLS Releases May 2018 Employment Situation (June 2018)

06.01.2018

Employers added 223,000 nonfarm payroll jobs in May of 2018, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.  The unemployment rate edge down at 3.8 percent.

Job gains occurred in retail, health care, and construction. The number of jobs in retail increased by 31,000, health care jobs increased by 29,000 over the month, while construction gained 25,000 jobs. 

Job growth in April2018 was revised to 159,000, down from the initially estimated 164,000.  Over the past three months, job growth has averaged 179,000 additions a month. 

Average hourly earnings rose by eight cents to $26.92. Over the year, average hourly earnings have risen 2.7 percent.  

The full BLS press release on the May 2018 employment situation can be accessed in the link below:

The next employment situation report for June 2018 will be released on Friday, July 6, 2018. 


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BEA Releases Second Estimate of First Quarter GDP (May 2018)

05.30.2018

The Bureau of Economic Analysis released its “second” estimate of first quarter 2018 Gross Domestic Product.  The second estimate is based on data that is more complete compared to the “advance” estimate. The second estimate shows that real GDP increased at an annual rate of 2.2 percent during the first quarter of 2018. 

The increase in real GDP in the first quarter reflected increases in personal consumption expenditures, nonresidential fixed investment, exports, private inventory investment, federal government spending, and state and local government spending.  The increase was partly offset by negative contributions from residential fixed investment. Imports, which is subtracted in the GDP calculation, increased. 

The full BEA press release on the second estimate of fourth quarter GDP can be accessed in the link below:

The next release—for the third estimate of first quarter GDP 2018 will be released on June 28, 2018. 


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BLS Releases April 2018 Consumer Price Index (May 2018)

05.10.2018

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Consumer Price Index for all urban consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.2 percent in April of 2018 on a seasonally-adjusted basis.  An increase in the indexes for gasoline and shelter were the main contributor to the monthly increase.

Excluding the volatile costs of food and energy, the index for all items less food and energy rose by 0.1 percent in April.  The indexes for household furnishings and operations, personal care, tobacco, medical care, and apparel all increased in April.

The all items index has risen 2.5 percent over the last 12 months ending in April, a figure which has been trending upward since June 2017.  

The full press release can be found via the link below.

Next release is Thursday, June 12, 2018, for the May 2018 Consumer Price Index.


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VBR and EPR Release Qtr1 and Qtr2 2018 Business Conditions Survey Results (May 2018)

05.09.2018

Today, Lisa Ventriss, President of Vermont Business Roundtable (VBR) and Jeffrey Carr, President, Economic & Policy Resources (EPR), announced the Q2 of 2018 outlook results of their joint initiative, the VBR/EPR Business Conditions Survey and Index.Almost three-quarters of respondents (72%) shared negative outlooks specifically with ease of hiring for available positions; an increase from the previous survey (69%). When asked, “Are you more or less optimistic about the general business climate in your sector compared to three months ago?”, the manufacturing sector had the most optimistic outlook on the general business climate (67% optimistic), while the health care sector again had the least optimistic outlook (67% pessimistic, 33% neutral).

 

Mr. Carr of EPR stated that “While business leaders in Vermont appear to have a somewhat more cautious economic outlook compared to their national counterparts, there are still a number of positive signs, including an uptick in all three of the diffusion indices looking forward into the future – including demand, capital spending, and employment.”Vermont’s outlook appears to remain on a “neutral” trend, with only slight fluctuation. Given the responses from this and the previous survey, they continue to demonstrate that economic conditions overall remain cautiously optimistic in many areas of the State and sectors of Vermont economy.

 


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Client Resources

EPR has complied a list of valuable resources that benefit our clients. Read through our whitepapers and published articles to learn more about how our services can be of help.


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Vermont Secretary of...

On December 17, 2018, Administration Secretary Susanne Young released General Fund, Transportation Fund and Education Fund revenue results for the month of November and the first five months of the State’s 2019 fiscal year.  Receipts...


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